Proposal to Increase Property and Sales Taxes Would Derail Arizona’s Economic Boom

Arizona’s economy has been on fire.  In just the last year the Grand Canyon state has created 75,000 jobs and Maricopa county leads the nation in population growth.

The state is more productive than ever too.  Arizona now ranks third fastest growing GDP in the country; outpacing heavy weights such as California, Florida and Texas.  Arizonans are enjoying a better standard of living as well with an over $61,000 median household income. 

This tremendous boom is a direct result of lawmaker’s decisions to keep tax burdens low and to create an environment where businesses can thrive. 

And yet the tax-and-spend lobby wants to squander this prosperity by reversing the very policies that got us here.

A group led by the Helios Foundation has unveiled a proposed measure that would impose a $1 Billion dollar property tax hike AND a $500 million dollar sales tax increase. It would be by far the largest property tax increase in Arizona history and be extremely punitive toward job creators in the state.

And just like its “Invest in Ed” predecessor, this tax hike is entirely unnecessary.  Due to pro-growth polices and historic federal tax reform, Arizona has enjoyed record tax revenues and budget surpluses the last two fiscal years.

Most of this surplus has been put toward education. In the last 18 months the legislature and Governor Ducey have pumped nearly $1.5 Billion in new spending into K-12 education, most of which has gone toward the ‘20by2020’ teacher pay plan, the continued restoration of district additional assistance, new school construction and results-based funding.  And even after all that spending there was enough left over to structurally balance the budget and leave $1 Billion in the rainy-day fund. 

Not surprisingly, none of this additional K-12 funding has satisfied the education spending lobby, which is why we are back at square one talking about another tax hike.  It doesn’t seem to matter that Arizona has been making tremendous gains in student performance over the last decade or that how you spend the money is far more important than how much is being spent.

Arizona is on the right path and changing course now would be a mistake.  That’s why taxpayers should be wary of proponents peddling major tax hikes claiming our schools are in shambles.  Instead, we should continue to grow and diversify our economy, invest in school choices that increase competition and improve educational outcomes, and demand higher standards.  Afterall, you get far more juice out of the economy by growing it – not by squeezing it. 

Pro-Light Rail Comedian Beclowns Himself in Attempt to Downplay Cost of South Phoenix Rail Project

It has been interesting to watch supporters of light rail try to explain away its exploding cost and how projects such as the South Phoenix extension have turned into reckless boondoggles for taxpayers.

As has been reported by multiple news outlets, the cost for South Phoenix rail extension has tripled in three years to $1.35 Billion dollars. At $245 million per mile it is now one of the most expensive rail projects in the country. And with the Federal Government reducing their funding share to 39%, Phoenix taxpayers are now on the hook for an additional $400 million in cost overruns.

Now a little-known comedian named Hasan Minhaj has decided to enter the fray, putting out a short video attempting to demonstrate why light rail isn’t such a bad deal after all. In doing so he inadvertently provided more evidence on the absurd cost of the South Phoenix rail project and why other transit options (such as expanded bus, dial-a-ride, ridesharing, etc.) would make much more sense.

His first critique is that opponents to light rail have ignored their economic development benefits for the community. This is simply not true.

Maybe during his extensive research on the issue Mr. Minhaj missed the fact that our organization already looked into Valley Metro’s $11 Billion-dollar economic development claim and discovered that it was a sham. Virtually every project on their list was either government funded/subsidized or had nothing to do with light rail. Unless, that is, Mr. Minhaj wants to argue that QuikTrip gas stations, car washes, the Phoenix Police forensic lab, the Maricopa County Sheriff Office and a Tesla Auto Dealership were built because of light rail.

He then complains that our organization and others have messed up by overstating the actual costs of light rail. Using an uncited, non-existent transit “industry standard,” Mr. Minhaj declares that the true cost for the South Phoenix project is only $14 per rider. He arrives at this figure by calculating the number of projected boardings over the next 30 years (105 million) and divides that into the cost of the project.

One small problem: he confuses riders with ridership. These are not all unique individuals, unless Mr. Minhaj believes that the entire population of Arizona, California, Texas, Virginia and Florida all plan to visit South Phoenix and ride the light rail. Perhaps for educational reasons people will flock to the area to see how many small businesses light rail has bankrupted, but we doubt it.

Now Mr. Minhaj is correct that the projected daily boardings for the South Phoenix extension is 9,600. It is a figure that some light rail opponents have used to determine that it would be cheaper to buy every rider a Tesla than expand light rail ($1.35Billion ÷ 9,600 riders =$140,000). In reality they were being way too forgiving—since actual daily unique riders will be half that amount (around 5,000), the true cost is closer to $280,000 per rider. Forget Teslas, it would be cheaper to buy every rider a condo than build the South Phoenix extension.

This doesn’t mean that the $14-dollar figure Mr. Minhaj arrives at isn’t significant. Thanks to him, taxpayers now know that they will be paying at least $14 to move someone up to 5 miles in one direction on the light rail ($2.80 per mile).  Given that the average 5-mile uber/lyft ride is around $10, it would be cheaper to issue 100 million rideshare vouchers over the next 30 years than it is to build the South Phoenix project.

We give Hasan Minhaj credit for trying to inject some humor into the light rail debate. It is too bad that he assumes that opposition to costly light rail is only because of some deep seeded irrational hostility to transit or involves an evil Koch brother hiding behind every bush.

Light rail is simply too costly and will end up consuming the city’s transportation budget if expansion is not stopped. That doesn’t just mean canceled road repairs, but reduced bus and dial-a-ride service as well. There are better options available, and we intend to continue to advocate for transportation solutions that benefit all residents, not just the 1% of the population that use light rail.

Superintendent Hoffman Plays Politics with AZ Kid’s Education

It is no secret that Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Kathy Hoffman is no fan of the Empowerment Scholarship Account (ESA) program.  Throughout the 2018 campaign season, Hoffman was on record taking hostile positions against the school choice program. 

Now she has allowed her personal biases to harm children and skirt the law.

Arizona law defines the criteria for children who qualify for the ESA program as well as outlines the process by which the Department of Education must administer the program – including a 45-day deadline for processing applications. 

With several ESA families in recent months shedding light on their own mistreatment by the department, it is unclear how many of the over 5,000 children have fallen victim to the Hoffman bias.

Just last spring a group of students on the Navajo Reservation were found to be using their ESA funds to attend a school in the state of New Mexico.  With nothing but poor failing schools in proximity to the children, the NM school was the only viable educational option.  Instead of seeking a remedy to the issue, these families were being expected to pay back thousands of dollars to the state.  Luckily the Governor’s office and the legislature passed a one-year fix for the native American families.

Only a couple months after this debacle, a military family was denied eligibility, citing the stepmom who was the active military person, was not the child’s real mother.  Despite the biological mom being deceased and the veteran stepmom having legal guardianship.  After a firestorm of criticism followed, Hoffman’s administration reversed the decision.  This was more than shoddy legal interpretation of the statutory eligibility – this was prejudicial. 

Most recently still, a Gilbert mom of a child with specific learning disabilities has called out the department of their willful incompetence after spending much of the summer on hold for hours and never receiving a response.  Even after this mom and her son confronted Hoffman at an ADE meeting, requesting a phone call back, a month later no phone call was received.  This family has been apart of the program for 5 years and has never had trouble in the past with communication.

This last issue was the straw that broke the camel’s back, leading GOP lawmaker Mark Finchem (LD 11) to file a complaint with the Arizona Attorney General’s office requesting they investigate the department’s mishandling of ESA applications and failing to process them within the 45-day window.

It seems nothing will overshadow Superintendent Hoffman’s bias toward the ESA program. Not the law.  Not children in vulnerable rural reservations. Not children of our military.  Not children with learning disabilities. 

For the sake of these families who rely on the ESA program to access the educational options that serve their children best – the legislature would be wise to remove the program from her administration.  After all, if Hoffman can’t and won’t administer the statutory program impartially and in full service to Arizona families – someone else should.

Light Rail Economic Development Claims by Valley Metro Fall Flat

Today the Arizona Free Enterprise Club has released a study examining the speculative claims made by Valley Metro that light rail has spurred $11 Billion in economic development.

Authored by transportation policy expert Randal O’Toole, “Valley Metro Light Rail Economic Development Claims Fall Flat” examines the 344 developments the transit agency cites as economic development attributable to light rail. 

The report shows that the vast majority of these projects would have happened anyway, happened only because they were subsidized or were government buildings and that the cost of rail construction exceeded any actual economic development created by light rail. 

There are several examples of projects cited in Valley Metro’s economic development report that have no reasonable connection to light rail, including:

  • Two QuikTrip Gas Stations
  • A Car Wash
  • The Tesla Car Dealership
  • Several Parking Garages
  • Maricopa County Sheriff Headquarters
  • The Phoenix Police Forensic Lab
  • The Arizona Department of Child Safety Building
  • Renovations at Manzanita Hall and other ASU student Housing
  • The Renovations at the Memorial Union

Valley metro included billions worth of projects that were heavily subsidized, were government funded, or were more than ½ mile from a light rail stop:

  • 85 projects worth $3.8 Billion received a subsidy–either a GPLET (Government Property Lease Excise Tax) property tax abatement, a lease-back of ASU property which advantaged the property with a property tax abatement, affordable housing tax credits, or another type of subsidy; 
  • 46 projects worth $2.1 Billion were government buildings;
  • 46 projects worth $2.7 Billion were Arizona State University buildings such as the remodeling of Sun Devil Stadium;
  • 17 projects worth $317 Million that were located more than a half mile from the light rail station and 2 projects worth $61 Million of developments built before light rail was.

“After removing these unrelated and subsidized projects, what you are left with is less than $2 Billion of development that likely would have been built anyways,” said Aimee Yentes, Vice President of the Arizona Free Enterprise Club.  She continued, “furthermore, light rail has cost taxpayers over $2 Billion to build and nowhere in Valley Metro’s analysis do they include the detrimental effects light rail construction has had in displacing or shuttering small businesses along the construction of the line.  The juice just hasn’t been worth the squeeze.”

 “Virtually every project on Valley Metro’s list would have been built somewhere in the Phoenix metropolitan area without light rail,” says Randal O’Toole the study’s author.  “In fact, considering light rail fares only cover 28 percent of the costs of operations and maintenance, it is hard to classify light rail as a ‘productive investment’.” 

The full study can be accessed HERE.

Cost for South Phoenix Light Rail Explodes to $1.35 BILLION Dollars

Yesterday when the City of Phoenix and Valley Metro announced that they had received a grant from the Federal Transit Administration (FTA) for the South Phoenix light rail extension, they did not disclose to taxpayers that the projected cost to build the line has nearly DOUBLED—from $700 million to $1.35 Billion dollars.  At $245 Million per mile, the South Phoenix line is now one of the most expensive light rail extensions in the country.

“It is amazing that no one in City Hall or Valley Metro notified the public of these rampant cost overruns,” said Scot Mussi, President of the Arizona Free Enterprise Club. “The scariest part for taxpayers is that they haven’t even broke ground on the project, so the price tag will likely go even higher before they are finished.”

To pay for the ballooning cost of the extension, Phoenix taxpayers are on the hook for $540 million, up from $195 million in 2018. “Neither Phoenix or Valley Metro have explained how they are going to pay for this, or what happens when the cost goes even higher,” Mussi Continued. “Taxpayers have a right to know what roadway projects will be cancelled to fund this boondoggle.”

This isn’t the first time Valley Metro has been forced to revise the projected cost for the South Phoenix extension. In November of 2015, Valley Metro estimated the capitol cost for the project to be no more than $530 Million Dollars.   

In August, Phoenix residents will have the opportunity to vote on Proposition 105, which would stop the expansion of the South Phoenix line and divert those funds to other needed roadway and transportation improvements. “With light rail costs spiraling out of control, voters would be wise to stop the bleeding before it is too late.” Mussi said.

The 2015 cost estimate for the South Phoenix project can be viewed HERE. The most recent cost estimate for the South Phoenix project can be viewed HERE.