This past November was a good time to be a Republican, especially here in Arizona. Not only did President Donald Trump win our state in a landslide victory, but Republicans expanded their majorities in both the Arizona House and Senate—despite being outspent in every single race.
While this turn of events shocked many in the corporate media who were convinced that Arizona was on its way from being a purple state to a blue state, we knew that voter registration trends told a different story.
Over the last couple of years, the gap between registered Republicans and Democrats in Arizona widened from 3.04% in 2020 to 4.03% in 2022. By April of last year, it had increased to 5.77%. And by November, it had expanded to 6.77%, a registration increase that proved decisive in President Trump’s overwhelming victory.
Now, 5 months removed from their electoral wipeout in November, there has been a lot of discussion about whether the Democrats’ political fortunes in Arizona would be reversing after their blowout loss to Trump.
Unfortunately for them, the latest voter registration numbers poured plenty of cold water on those dreams.
Maricopa County Slipping Away from the Democrats
If Democrats want any shot of controlling the legislature or winning statewide offices in Arizona, they need to flip Maricopa County blue. Yet that can’t happen when they keep losing the voter registration battle.
As you can see in the graph below, the gap between registered Republicans and Democrats in Maricopa County has increased from 85,000 in April 2020 to 191,000 in April 2025. That’s right, Republicans have more than doubled their registration advantage over Democrats!
These registration trendlines are consistent with the statewide figures that show Republicans doubling their registration advantage in that same timeframe. In fact, Arizona is more red from a voter registration advantage standpoint than at any point in the last 75 years! But that may not even be the worst news for Democrats.
If you look closely at the graph above, you’ll see something interesting. There are now fewer registered Democrats in Maricopa County than there were five years ago. And this has come during a time when the population in Maricopa County has grown by over 150,000 residents. (See here and here.)
Note to Democrats…that’s not how this is supposed to work. As the population grows, you would think your raw numbers of voter registrations would increase as well. But maybe, just maybe, it’s your woke policies that are the problem.
President Trump Brings Early Successes While Governor Hobbs Becomes a Bigger Embarrassment
In less than 100 days in office, President Trump has been hard at work executing his mandate from the American people. Along with issuing a torrent of Executive Orders that have unleashed fossil fuel production in America, he rolled back the Green New Deal climate cult fantasy, ended DEI and other race-based hiring and employment practices, and has been taking a sledgehammer to the administrative state by allowing Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) to identify and eliminate billions in wasteful spending.
On top of this, President Trump issued an executive order announcing his intention to enforce the citizenship requirement for federal elections. His Department of Justice (DOJ) then followed that up by ceasing a legal challenge that began under the Biden administration against Arizona’s proof of citizenship laws. And his EPA recently announced that it will no longer penalize our state—as the Biden administration had been attempting—for foreign air pollution.
In the meantime, let’s check in on Arizona’s chief executive.
So far this year, Democrat Governor Katie Hobbs has vetoed a popular bill aimed to deliver same-day elections results to our state. She vetoed a bipartisan bill that looked to provide affordable and reliable utilities to Arizonans. And to prove that she’s a total embarrassment (and a fraud) to the people of Arizona, she diverted hundreds of millions of dollars for an unauthorized program that has blown a hole in our state’s budget.
With all this incompetence, it’s no wonder why Democrats continue to see a steady decline in voter registrations with no surge of support. But Republicans can’t be satisfied. As the numbers continue to show Arizona as a firmly red state once again, we must build on this momentum with unity, hard work, and good policy.
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